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Monday, December 29, 2025

Revisiting the highly intriguing Torah codes

The Torah Codes, also known as Equidistant Letter Sequences (ELS), became a global phenomenon in the late 1990s following the publication of a paper in Statistical Science and the bestselling book The Bible Code by Michael Drosnin.

The core claim is that by skipping a fixed number of letters in the Hebrew text (e.g., every 7th or 50th letter), meaningful words and phrases appear that predict historical events—from the French Revolution to the moon landing.


1. The "Witzum-Rips-Rosenberg" (WRR) Study

The modern "validity" of the code stems from a 1994 study by Eliyahu Rips and Yoav Rosenberg. They tested the names of 32 famous rabbis against their dates of birth or death in the book of Genesis.

  • The Result: They found the names and dates in close proximity more often than would be expected by chance.

  • The Statistical Claim: The authors claimed the probability of this happening by chance was 1 in 62,500.


2. The Mathematical Rebuttal: "The Texas Sharpshooter"

The primary mathematical criticism of the Torah Codes is based on Probability Theory and the Law of Truly Large Numbers.

  • Data Mining: Critics argue that if you have a large enough dataset (like the 304,805 letters in the Torah) and infinite ways to "skip" (every 2nd, 10th, 5,000th letter), you will always find patterns. This is called the "Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy"—firing a gun at a barn wall and then drawing a bullseye around the bullet holes.1

  • The Moby Dick Counter-Proof: To prove this, Australian mathematician Brendan McKay applied the same ELS software to the English translation of Moby Dick. He successfully "predicted" the assassinations of Indira Gandhi, Martin Luther King Jr., and John F. Kennedy.

  • Conclusion: The patterns are a property of large datasets, not necessarily a property of a "divine" text.


3. The Jewish Perspective

Interestingly, Jewish scholars are divided on the codes, but for theological reasons rather than just mathematical ones:

  • The "Pro" Side: Some Orthodox groups see the codes as a "calling card" from God, proving that the Torah is of non-human origin because a human author could not have encoded future history while maintaining a coherent surface narrative.

  • The "Anti" Side: Many rabbis argue that searching for "secret codes" cheapens the Torah. They believe the Torah is meant to be read for its plain meaning (Pshat) and its laws, not as a crystal ball. They also point out that we don't have the "original" manuscript of the Torah—there are tiny variations in spelling (vowels/consonants) between different ancient scrolls that would completely break an ELS code if even one letter were added or removed.


4. Summary of Validity

FeatureThe Pro-Code ArgumentThe Mathematical Rebuttal
Statistical SignificanceThe odds of clusters are too high for chance.With enough "skips," any name can be found near any date.
IntentionalityThe messages are too specific to be random."Predictions" are only found after the event has occurred.
Unique TextThis only works in the Hebrew Torah.Proven to work in War and Peace and Moby Dick.

The "Only Logical Conclusion"?

From a purely mathematical standpoint, the Torah Codes are generally considered a result of statistical clustering. However, for those who believe the universe is "fine-tuned" or "participatory" (as we discussed with Wheeler), the codes are seen as another layer of the "information-based" reality where the physical world and the sacred text are built from the same underlying "bits."

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